Home / Temporada Ciclónica 2017 / Probabilidades del Huracán Florence Wind Speed ​​Probabilities Number 53

Probabilidades del Huracán Florence Wind Speed ​​Probabilities Number 53

Emitido a las 1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2018


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PWSAT1
                                                                    
HURACAN FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMERO 53
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES DEL NWS MIAMI FL AL062018
1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2018
                                                                    
A LAS 1500Z EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN FLORENCIA ESTABA UBICADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD
29.8 NORTE ... LONGITUD 71.3 OESTE CON VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS CERCA
115 KTS ... 130 MPH ... 215 KM / H.
                                                                    
Z INDICA EL TIEMPO UNIVERSAL COORDINADO (GREENWICH)
   TIEMPO ESTÁNDAR ATLÁNTICO (AST) ... RESTANTE 4 HORAS DESDE Z HORA
   EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT) ... RESTANTE 4 HORAS DESDE Z TIME
   TIEMPO CENTRAL DE LUZ DIURNA (CDT) ... RESTANTE 5 HORAS DESDE Z HORA
                                                                    
TABLA DE PROBABILIDAD DE VELOCIDAD DE VIENTO PARA LUGARES ESPECÍFICOS
                                                                    
POSIBILIDADES DE VELOCIDADES DE VIENTO SOSTENIDAS (PROMEDIO DE 1 MINUTO) DE AL MENOS
   ... 34 KT (39 MPH ... 63 KM / H) ...
   ... 50 KT (58 MPH ... 93 KM / H) ...
   ... 64 KT (74 MPH ... 119 KM / H) ...
PARA UBICACIONES Y PERÍODOS DE TIEMPO DURANTE LOS PRÓXIMOS 5 DÍAS
                                                                    
LAS PROBABILIDADES PARA LAS UBICACIONES SE DICEN COMO OP (CP) WHERE
    OP ES LA PROBABILIDAD DEL EVENTO QUE COMIENZA DURANTE
        UN PERIODO DE TIEMPO INDIVIDUAL (PROBABILIDAD DE INICIO)
   (CP) ES LA PROBABILIDAD DEL EVENTO OCURRIDO ENTRE
        12Z WED Y LA HORA PRONOSTICADA (PROBABILIDAD ACUMULATIVA)
                                                                    
PROBABILIDADES DADAS EN PORCENTAJE
X INDICA PROBABILIDADES MENORES DEL 1 POR CIENTO
PROBABILIDADES PARA 34 KT Y 50 KT SE MUESTRAN EN UNA UBICACIÓN DADA CUANDO
LA PROBABILIDAD ACUMULATIVA DE 5 DÍAS ES AL MENOS 3 POR CIENTO.
PROBABILIDADES PARA 34 ... 50 ... 64 KT SE MUESTRAN CUANDO LOS 5 DÍAS
LA PROBABILIDAD ACUMULATIVA DE 64 KT ES AL MENOS 1 PORCIENTO.
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - PROBABILIDADES DE VELOCIDAD DEL VIENTO PARA LUGARES SELECCIONADOS - - - -
                                                                    
               DESDE DESDE DESDE DESDE DESDE DESDE DESDE
  HORA 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z VIE 12Z VIE 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODOS PARA TO TO TO TO TO
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z VIERNES 12Z VIERNES 12Z SAT 12Z DOM 12Z MON
                                                                    
HORA PRONÓSTICO (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
UBICACIÓN KT
                                                                    
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 1 (4) 1 (5)
 
DOVER DE 34 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 1 (4) X (4)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 3 (6) 1 (7) X (7)
 
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4) 4 (8) 2 (10) X (10)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 3 (6) X (6) X (6)
 
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X (X) 3 (3) 5 (8) 5 (13) X (13) 1 (14)
 
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X (X) 3 (3) 4 (7) 6 (13) 2 (15) X (15)
 
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X (X) 4 (4) 4 (8) 7 (15) 1 (16) X (16)
 
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X (X) 3 (3) 6 (9) 7 (16) 6 (22) X (22)
 
RICHMOND VA 34 X X (X) 5 (5) 10 (15) 10 (25) 4 (29) X (29)
 
DANVILLE VA 34 X X (X) 5 (5) 16 (21) 15 (36) 9 (45) 1 (46)
DANVILLE VA 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 3 (6) X (6)
 
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 2 (2) 6 (8) 11 (19) 11 (30) 4 (34) X (34)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2) X (2) 1 (3)
 
NORFOLK VA 34 X 2 (2) 7 (9) 11 (20) 12 (32) 3 (35) X (35)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 1 (3) X (3) X (3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 3 (3) 7 (10) 11 (21) 11 (32) 3 (35) X (35)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 1 (3) 1 (4) X (4)
 
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 4 (4) 18 (22) 14 (36) 12 (48) 4 (52) X (52)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X (X) 2 (2) 4 (6) 3 (9) 1 (10) X (10)
ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2) X (2) X (2)
 
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X (X) 6 (6) 16 (22) 15 (37) 14 (51) 2 (53)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 6 (9) X (9)
GREENSBORO NC 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) X (1)
 
RALEIGH NC 34 X 2 (2) 11 (13) 28 (41) 18 (59) 7 (66) 1 (67)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X (X) 1 (1) 6 (7) 6 (13) 4 (17) X (17)
RALEIGH NC 64 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2) 1 (3) X (3)
 
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 3 (3) 22 (25) 25 (50) 15 (65) 5 (70) X (70)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X (X) 2 (2) 11 (13) 7 (20) 2 (22) X (22)
ROCKY MT NC 64 X X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 2 (4) X (4) X (4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 41 (43) 40 (83) 4 (87) 4 (91) X (91) X (91)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2 (2) 24 (26) 7 (33) 6 (39) 1 (40) X (40)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X (X) 4 (4) 3 (7) 3 (10) 1 (11) X (11)
 
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 3 (3) 28 (31) 34 (65) 15 (80) 7 (87) X (87)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X (X) 3 (3) 20 (23) 16 (39) 7 (46) 1 (47)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X (X) X (X) 6 (6) 6 (12) 3 (15) X (15)
 
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X (X) 4 (4) 14 (18) 17 (35) 21 (56) 3 (59)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4) 11 (15) 1 (16)
CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) X (3)
 
CHERRY PT NC 34 1 12 (13) 70 (83) 8 (91) 4 (95) X (95) X (95)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X 1 (1) 34 (35) 19 (54) 11 (65) X (65) 1 (66)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X (X) 8 (8) 15 (23) 6 (29) 1 (30) X (30)
 
NEW RIVER NC 34 2 51 (53) 43 (96) 2 (98) 1 (99) X (99) X (99)
NUEVO RIO NC 50 X 5 (5) 63 (68) 10 (78) 7 (85) X (85) X (85)
NUEVO RÍO NC 64 X X (X) 27 (27) 14 (41) 8 (49) X (49) X (49)
 
MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 46 (48) 47 (95) 3 (98) 1 (99) X (99) X (99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4 (4) 63 (67) 13 (80) 7 (87) X (87) X (87)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X (X) 28 (28) 19 (47) 8 (55) X (55) X (55)
 
SURF CITY NC 34 1 12 (13) 74 (87) 8 (95) 3 (98) 1 (99) X (99)
SURF CITY NC 50 X 1 (1) 42 (43) 31 (74) 10 (84) 1 (85) 1 (86)
CIUDAD DE SURF NC 64 X X (X) 15 (15) 30 (45) 11 (56) 1 (57) X (57)
 
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 9 (9) 71 (80) 14 (94) 4 (98) X (98) X (98)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1 (1) 33 (34) 36 (70) 13 (83) 1 (84) 1 (85)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X (X) 10 (10) 33 (43) 10 (53) 3 (56) X (56)
 
BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 29 (30) 63 (93) 5 (98) 1 (99) 1 (99) X (99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 2 (2) 53 (55) 30 (85) 5 (90) 3 (93) X (93)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X (X) 24 (24) 36 (60) 12 (72) 3 (75) X (75)
 
FLORENCIA SC 34 X 2 (2) 14 (16) 35 (51) 21 (72) 12 (84) 2 (86)
FLORENCIA SC 50 X X (X) 2 (2) 9 (11) 17 (28) 17 (45) 1 (46)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 5 (7) 8 (15) 1 (16)
 
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1 (1) 4 (5) 14 (19) 22 (41) 26 (67) 4 (71)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 4 (5) 20 (25) 2 (27)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 6 (7) 1 (8)
 
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 5 (5) 54 (59) 26 (85) 8 (93) 3 (96) X (96)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X (X) 13 (13) 36 (49) 17 (66) 8 (74) X (74)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X (X) 2 (2) 22 (24) 15 (39) 5 (44) 1 (45)
 
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 9 (9) 59 (68) 21 (89) 6 (95) 2 (97) X (97)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X (X) 17 (17) 35 (52) 16 (68) 9 (77) X (77)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X (X) 2 (2) 21 (23) 18 (41) 8 (49) X (49)
 
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 4 (4) 25 (29) 33 (62) 17 (79) 9 (88) 1 (89)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X (X) 3 (3) 17 (20) 20 (40) 15 (55) 1 (56)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X (X) X (X) 4 (4) 11 (15) 9 (24) 1 (25)
 
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 2 (2) 7 (9) 24 (33) 24 (57) 18 (75) 2 (77)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4) 13 (17) 19 (36) 2 (38)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 4 (4) 9 (13) 1 (14)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1 (1) 4 (5) 11 (16) 19 (35) 24 (59) 3 (62)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 5 (6) 16 (22) 2 (24)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 6 (7) 2 (9)
 
ATLANTA GA 34 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 15 (18) 5 (23)
ATLANTA GA 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 1 (3)
 
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X (X) 3 (3) 6 (9) 12 (21) 29 (50) 4 (54)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 15 (16) 2 (18)
AUGUSTA GA 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 4 (4) X (4)
 
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1 (1) 3 (4) 5 (9) 15 (24) 24 (48) 3 (51)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) 11 (14) 3 (17)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4) 2 (6)
 
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X (X) 2 (2) 3 (5) 7 (12) 13 (25) 3 (28)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 4 (5) 1 (6)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2)
 
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 6 (9) 14 (23) 4 (27)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) 2 (5)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2)
 
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X (X) 2 (2) 4 (6) 12 (18) 11 (29) 3 (32)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 4 (5) 2 (7)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 2 (2) X (2)
 
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 5 (8) 12 (20) 3 (23)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 2 (4)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 6 (8) 2 (10)
 
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 5 (8) 2 (10)
 
LOS PUEBLOS 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 4 (5) 2 (7)
 
ORLANDO FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4) 1 (5)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 1 (4)
 
PATRICK AFB 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3) 1 (4)
 
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 1 (2) 1 (3)
 
CEDRO CLAVE FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 5 (6) 2 (8)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 5 (6) 2 (8)
 
MARCAS ST FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 5 (5) 2 (7)
 
APALACHICOLA 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) 2 (5)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3)
 
CIUDAD DE PANAMÁ FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 2 (2) 3 (5)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 3 (4)
 
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 8 (9) 4 (13)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) 2 (5)
 
MONTGOMERÍA AL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 3 (3) 2 (5)
 
BLANQUEO FLD FL 34 X X (X) X (X) X (X) X (X) 1 (1) 2 (3)
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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